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Ben Fawkes ESPN Staff Writer 

Coming off their historic upset, the 16-seed UMBC Retrievers open as 10-point underdogs against 9-seed Kansas State at Westgate LV SuperBook.

Alex Scarborough ESPN Staff Writer 

Missouri freshman Michael Porter Jr. took the loss to Florida State hard. It was difficult, he said, not being the kind of player he was accustomed to before surgery. But he's optimistic now that he's pain free for the first time in years.


Seth Walder ESPN Analytics 

Kansas State entered the day with a 3% chance to reach the Sweet 16, per BPI. After it beat Creighton and UMBC beat Virginia, the Wildcats' Sweet 16 chances are up to 86%.

Tournament Challenge ESPN 

The teams picked most to win the title, now that Virginia (18.5%) is out of the way: Villanova (16.3%), Duke (9.8%), Michigan St. (8.6%), Kansas (7.9%), UNC (6.9%).

Seth Walder ESPN Analytics 

How the landscape of the South Region shifted over the last few hours:

Seth Walder ESPN Analytics 

Virginia's pre-game chance to win was 98.5%, per BPI.

Seth Walder ESPN Analytics 

How quickly Virginia's title hopes plummeted:

Paul Sabin ESPN Analytics 

A lot of things to say after that Virginia stunner. After UMBC, Cincinnati should be the 2nd happiest team today. The Bearcats started the day as 5th most likely to win the National Championship and are now 2nd after Villanova per .

Seth Walder ESPN Analytics 

Best chance to win the South Region, per BPI: Cincinnati: 50% Tennessee: 19% Kentucky: 18% Kansas State: 6% Nevada: 3%